Hm, so boring from tomorrow to make profits today is catching up with them. Guess I am not surprised.

I dunno about that rational to say there isn’t a shortage. I know consumers struggle to buy GPUs, even when they are willing to pay a lot. And a buddy of mine works at a company where they couldn’t get enough GPUs for their datacenter and were forced to rent from coreweave.

So wait. What is the story with coreweave. You mentioned labs desperate for gpu, and there very much is a shortage. Coreweave rents that. So they should be making miney handover fist.

Not young. Worked at a supermarket before the internet (technically it existed, but not in supermarkets and such. It was the very early dial up days… pre AOL and such. Anyway, the one manager hated me, and he would have given me that job if it existed. I got along with my coworkers. None of them had that job. Maybe the night time restockers checked once a night or something, I didn’t know all of them. But I don’t so. They just waited for a customer to tell them I believe. But back then, a freezer full wasn’t as big a loss as it is nowadays. And their margins were higher.

See I was thinking that at first too. But then the supermarket has to host the software to manage the devices. If it were just fridges, fine, but surely it is a ton of things, all with their own software… so letting the fridge talk directly to the companies servers saves the supermarket from needing to have serious IT staff.
Now there are a ton of ways to make it a safer connection so that it can’t be hacked so easily. From the sounds of things, even that was too much for the supermarket people to do. So default password it was.

And like every company that hears about agile these days.

This really is just like every other management trend. They take something that can have a positive impact and then try to apply it in all the wrong places without investing in making it work. AI can really help with a lot of mundane tasks that everyone dreads doing. And it can really help at finding information in an ocean of docs and pages. But… you have to invest in training people jow to use it, building the internal tools to make it effective, and in getting the garbage out of your existing docs. It can also be used for coding of course, but the ecosystem needed to do that well requires even more investment in basics. The fact that tech writers who know how to work with and document for AI aren’t being hired by the bundle tells you how wrong soo many companies are about their approach. Bonus points, if used well, AI doesn’t have to be obscenely expensive. At least until they start charging what it actually costs.

I keep trying to tell the school administration the same thing each time my special needs kid wanders into some gapping security hole and they call it hacking.

These are actually a good place to have a network connection. Can you imagine having to be the person who’s jod it is to walk to all of the fridges in the store and just check if they are at the right temp… every X minutes? After doing it for weeks, you probably wouldn’t even notice the one that is wrong.

That makes logical sense, but I am looking for a more solid explanation. Again, I am not saying it isn’t, I am asking how could I say that to someone and then back it up with a solid why.

So I agree on the impact, and on the why care. But I’m not seeing why waiting long makes it worse. Based on what you said, waiting longer could help if it can hold out until this tariff war is over (one way or the other). Then it might be possible to lower interest rates to soften the impact. If it can hold out for a whole new administration even, that could help a lot. Though that is also what would likely trigger it, as a new administration will likely restore regulations that have been relaxed, increasing costs to business. But I would rather pay that price at that time with that administration than this one.

Nice. I just wondered how they were coming along.

Right now, I have to manage which model does what. So I don’t. It’s the companies dime after all, and they clearly value speed over efficiency. But the model I directly talk to doesn’t need to be super high end. It could be well versed in which model is best for what task and farm put all of the work to the right model for the job. Seems like that alone could reduce cost a ton. But then start adding in cheaper local models and the price could fall a ton.

It would also be more accurate. Like if I had a small local model for interacting with a set of apis. It wouldn’t make the mistake of not considering that the api paginates results. The general model makes this mistake over and over.

So I agree this is the direction of the future. Just trying to figure out when we will get there.

I dunno. The market affect is mostly perception. I mean why should unrelated stocks suffer when AI companies fall, yet they do. So I don’t think the length of time actually impacts the severity of the crash. But I’m no economist. That’s more of a “I don’t see why”, rather than a “no it won’t”

“more clear that the real future of AI is small language and open-weight models running on local desktop computers” So where are we with those smaller models? I haven’t been following them. Are they any good?

Look, none of use should be cheering for a full on pop of the buble. It will hurt all industries. And we know the oligarchy has insulated themselves in ways that will ensure they feel very little pain. It will be all the workers who will feel it. As for data centers, I don’t think we need the bubble to burst to fight that. Lots of jurisdictions are already banning them. That is what we should be cheering for.

AI doesn’t get 1 + 1 wrong anymore… but yes it can still be wrong. Most commonly if you ask it the wrong way. A calculator can do the same if you forget the parentheses, or mess them up slightly.
My feel is that the degree to which a wrongly inputed question can get a wrong answer is proportional to the complexity of the question you are trying to get an answer to. Kinda like computers made it possible for a simple mispelling of someone’s name to have much more massive consequences than before computers.

What we really need is an open source platform that host tools as plugins that do as many of the privacy and tracking blocking for us. Cause as one person pointed out, those of us who do it are just a drop in the bucket. It needs to be so simple my mom can do it. And then it needs to be popular to do it. But since there is no money in it, it won’t happen. Thats just the human way.