• 0 Posts
  • 18 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
cake
Cake day: June 15th, 2023

help-circle


  • The problem isn’t necessarily with the IPOs. If an unprofitable company wants to go public with nothing to offer but empty promises, why shouldn’t they?

    The real problem is how these companies have grown as large as they have with no profits, and are dominating the US economy. In a sane world, ordinary investors wouldn’t be lining up to buy shares of these companies that may never show a profit. What makes it even worse is how indexes are bending their own rules to get these companies in. Many ordinary people might not even realize how much their retirement is tied into these companies at this point.

    Now, educated investors might see these as a lotto ticket. Put a small amount into each one, and maybe one or two hits big and generate outsized returns. But those folks are not gambling with their pensions. I have a bad feeling that when it all falls apart, the country as a whole will be left holding the bag, either because the stock market craters to the point that no one can retire, or the Feds step in and bail it all out




  • The cloud is a great metaphor. It represents all that software that we expect to just “be there”, without any thought to where it might be. Of course software needs a platform to run on, but it is designed so it doesn’t matter where it is run. Your phone just finds it. It couldn’t care less where the server is, it just connects, and you get your cat pictures, as long as you are connected to the Internet.

    The physical manifestation of the cloud is all those servers in datacenters, with redundant connectivity and power, designed to run and be connected 24/7/365.26 . They are designed with failures and redundancy in mind. It can take a literal act of war to get a datacenter off the network permanently. And even then, when local data and connectivity are lost, people running Web services for real should be backing their data up offsite and designing their services to easily spin up elsewhere. Some services hosted in those datacenters simply had a brief outage while other resources were provisioned.

    “The Cloud” is really just a series of Best Practices for software design and operations so that these services can run anywhere. Of course, they have to run somewhere, but they can run anywhere…



  • It depends on how close you are to retiring. If you are more than 10 years away, you are probably better off doing nothing differently. Look at the inevitable dip as a buying opportunity.

    Even if you are close, you still need to be careful. Yes, the market is probably due for a 40% haircut at some point. But if it takes another 3 years to get there, then the market might increase more than that before then.

    There are funds that track the entire S&P 500, but omit those 7 large Tech companies, and their performance has consistently lagged behind the whole index. If you thought years ago that the Tech sector would be do for a correction and backed out of those 7 companies while keeping the rest, you would be objectively worse off.