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Cake day: June 8th, 2025

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  • Not possible.

    Think photocopy of a photocopy, or JPEG of a JPEG.

    You start getting artifacts, and the model collapses.

    Of course, though, they’ve already poisoned the well, and at this point it’s impossible for them to sieve out any remaining non-LLM-generated content. They started watermarking too late, and couldn’t recognise other slop machines’ watermarks anyway.

    Model collapse is inevitable and already ongoing (search “thousand whys" on Amazon, for instance, or read up on Elias Thorne, lighthouse keeper), and will only get worse.

    In a few years it will be impossible to train a working up-to-date model. Maybe it already is, hence this article, as a preemptive justification for why newer models won’t be able to generate code using language features introduced after 2026.







  • Replace the AI tool with a calculator. You’d get the same results.

    Correct. I used to be able to calculate square roots in my head, then they let us use calculators the next school year, and soon I was no longer able to do so.

    The problem is that what calculators due to math LLMs do to thinking in general, causing much deeper and extensive damage to the brain.

    Also, calculators are good at maths. They produce correct results.

    LLMs aren’t good at thinking (or even capable of doing it at all), they’re very good at putting the most statistically likely (given the texts they were trained on) word in front of a sequence of words. They don’t necessarily produce correct results, they produce results that wouldn’t look out of place in their training set (unless you’re an expert in whatever the text is about, in which case it’s often absolute bullshit that sounds correct to a layman).

    We’re replacing working brains with autocomplete engines that (if they were capable of caring about anything, which they’re not) couldn’t care less about the correctness of their output, just that it looks correct.

    And it remains to be seen if the people injured by this will ever be able to recover anything close to normal brain function. Personally, I doubt it. Once it’s gone, it’s gone.


  • We’ll have massive recessions, sure.

    Worse than the last couple ones.

    Inflation above 10%.

    But not hyperinflation like in the USA.

    We’ll have to bail out the banks that fell for the scam, but not the scammers themselves.

    And it might be a good opportunity to finish decoupling from the USA economy, companies, and policies.

    It might take a decade or a decade and a half, but we will recover.

    The USA on the other hand will suffer the full brunt of the crash, while being already economically, diplomatically, socially, politically, and morally bankrupt, and infected with the most actively incompetent and outright malicious government in its history, a government whose priorities won’t be to save the country but to exploit the situation, or to take the money and run if that proves impossible.

    It would almost certainly have been doomed anyway, but this will be the last nail in the coffin and precipitate the collapse.